UFCSunday, Nov 8, 2:45 AMML STEAM: Davey Grant +254 → +247 (+0.6% Win Prob)
Live Market at YouWager.lvEl
Fighter A • #24009
Elijah Smith
Fair
72.5%
Da
Fighter B • #24010
Davey Grant
Fair
27.5%
Fight MoneylineHold 4.72%
Opener: -310 / +254
Elijah Smith-315
Davey Grant+247
No-Vig Fair ValueZero Hold
True Implied Win Probability
Elijah Smith72.5% (-263)
Davey Grant27.5% (+263)
Total Rounds (O/U)
Opener: O/U 2.5
Over2.5 (-115)
Under2.5 (-105)
Sharp Market Signal:YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Davey Grant shifted from +254 to +247, a 0.6% implied win probability adjustment.
Fight Moneyline De-Vigging, Book Hold & Round Total Analysis
Elijah Smith vs. Davey Grant live YouWager market pricing and no-vig probability breakdown.
No-Vig Win: Elijah Smith 50% / Davey Grant 50%Hold: 4.55%
Line Movement History
Line Movement History
| Checkpoint | Timestamp | Total Rounds (O/U) | Elijah Smith ML | Davey Grant ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPENING LINE | Nov 6, 12:46 PM | 2.5 (O -132 / U +113) | -310 | +254 |
| MOVE #1 | Nov 6, 6:39 PM | 2.5 (O -110 / U -106) | -310 | +254 |
| MOVE #2 | Nov 6, 9:02 PM | 2.5 (O -110 / U -106) | -325 | +265 |
| MOVE #3 | Nov 6, 10:28 PM | 2.5 (O -110 / U -106) | -315 | +247 |
| CURRENT LINE | Nov 6, 11:24 PM | 2.5 (O -115 / U -105) | -315 | +247 |
Quick Edge Bet Slip
Elijah Smith vs. Davey Grant5% Rebate
Elijah Smith vs. Davey Grant
Est. Cash Payout (-110 Vegas):USD $190.91
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Total Action Power:USD $290.91
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Select Your Typical Bet Size (USD)
Active Desk Line:Elijah Smith vs. Davey Grant
Spread: Elijah Smith vs. Davey GrantTotal: O/U 2.5 (-115 / -105)
Retail Hold Drag0% Monthly Rebate
Standard Unboosted Bet (Without 5% Monthly Rebate or Bonus)
Standard Market Pricing: Standard Unrebated Pricing (No Monthly Rebate)
Single-Bet Return
USD $187.72
+USD $87.72 net profit
Reload Bonus Equity
USD $0.00
No recurring free-play
- ✕Zero monthly net-loss rebate protection on your action
- ✕No Weekly NFL Monday Night Football No-Vig Special or Half-Price Juice Fridays
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Retail Rebate & Shading Loss:-USD $104.75 / mo
Official Sharp Desk Partner-110 Vegas Lines + Double Welcome Bonus (Free Monthly 5% Rebate)
YouWager.lv Official Sharp Desk+USD $304.75 Monthly Edge
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Vegas -110 Return
USD $190.91
+USD $90.91 profit
5% Monthly Rebate Edge
+USD $104.75
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Free-Play Equity
+USD $200.00
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Total Bankroll Edge
+USD $304.75
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