UFCSaturday, Nov 7, 10:30 PMML STEAM: Wellington Turman +500 → +475 (-1.3% Win Prob)
Live Market at YouWager.lvWe
Fighter A • #24013
Wellington Turman
Fair
16.8%
Se
Fighter B • #24014
SeokHyeon Ko
Fair
83.2%
Fight MoneylineHold 3.6%
Opener: +500 / -700
Wellington Turman+475
SeokHyeon Ko-625
No-Vig Fair ValueZero Hold
True Implied Win Probability
Wellington Turman16.8% (+496)
SeokHyeon Ko83.2% (-496)
Total Rounds (O/U)
Opener: O/U 1.5
Over1.5 (+169)
Under1.5 (-200)
Sharp Market Signal:YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Wellington Turman shifted from +500 to +475, a 1.3% implied win probability adjustment.
Fight Moneyline De-Vigging, Book Hold & Round Total Analysis
Wellington Turman vs. SeokHyeon Ko live YouWager market pricing and no-vig probability breakdown.
No-Vig Win: Wellington Turman 50% / SeokHyeon Ko 50%Hold: 4.55%
Line Movement History
Line Movement History
| Checkpoint | Timestamp | Total Rounds (O/U) | Wellington Turman ML | SeokHyeon Ko ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPENING LINE | Nov 6, 12:46 PM | 1.5 (O +169 / U -200) | +500 | -700 |
| CURRENT LINE | Nov 6, 10:28 PM | 1.5 (O +169 / U -200) | +475 | -625 |
Quick Edge Bet Slip
Wellington Turman vs. SeokHyeon Ko5% Rebate
Wellington Turman vs. SeokHyeon Ko
Est. Cash Payout (-110 Vegas):USD $190.91
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Active Desk Line:Wellington Turman vs. SeokHyeon Ko
Spread: Wellington Turman vs. SeokHyeon KoTotal: O/U 1.5 (+169 / -200)
Retail Hold Drag0% Monthly Rebate
Standard Unboosted Bet (Without 5% Monthly Rebate or Bonus)
Standard Market Pricing: Standard Unrebated Pricing (No Monthly Rebate)
Single-Bet Return
USD $187.72
+USD $87.72 net profit
Reload Bonus Equity
USD $0.00
No recurring free-play
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Retail Rebate & Shading Loss:-USD $104.75 / mo
Official Sharp Desk Partner-110 Vegas Lines + Double Welcome Bonus (Free Monthly 5% Rebate)
YouWager.lv Official Sharp Desk+USD $304.75 Monthly Edge
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Vegas -110 Return
USD $190.91
+USD $90.91 profit
5% Monthly Rebate Edge
+USD $104.75
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Free-Play Equity
+USD $200.00
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Total Bankroll Edge
+USD $304.75
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