UFCSunday, Nov 8, 2:15 AMML STEAM: Lucas Fernando -330 → -345 (-0.8% Win Prob)
Live Market at YouWager.lvLu
Fighter A • #24021
Lucas Fernando
Fair
74.7%
Bi
Fighter B • #24022
Billy Elekana
Fair
25.3%
Fight MoneylineHold 3.84%
Opener: -330 / +269
Lucas Fernando-345
Billy Elekana+280
No-Vig Fair ValueZero Hold
True Implied Win Probability
Lucas Fernando74.7% (-295)
Billy Elekana25.3% (+295)
Total Rounds (O/U)
Opener: O/U 1.5
Over1.5 (+161)
Under1.5 (-190)
Sharp Market Signal:YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Lucas Fernando shifted from -330 to -345, a 0.8% implied win probability adjustment.
Fight Moneyline De-Vigging, Book Hold & Round Total Analysis
Lucas Fernando vs. Billy Elekana live YouWager market pricing and no-vig probability breakdown.
No-Vig Win: Lucas Fernando 50% / Billy Elekana 50%Hold: 4.55%
Line Movement History
Line Movement History
| Checkpoint | Timestamp | Total Rounds (O/U) | Lucas Fernando ML | Billy Elekana ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPENING LINE | Nov 6, 12:46 PM | 1.5 (O +161 / U -190) | -330 | +269 |
| CURRENT LINE | Nov 6, 3:01 PM | 1.5 (O +161 / U -190) | -345 | +280 |
Quick Edge Bet Slip
Lucas Fernando vs. Billy Elekana5% Rebate
Lucas Fernando vs. Billy Elekana
Est. Cash Payout (-110 Vegas):USD $190.91
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Total Action Power:USD $290.91
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Select Your Typical Bet Size (USD)
Active Desk Line:Lucas Fernando vs. Billy Elekana
Spread: Lucas Fernando vs. Billy ElekanaTotal: O/U 1.5 (+161 / -190)
Retail Hold Drag0% Monthly Rebate
Standard Unboosted Bet (Without 5% Monthly Rebate or Bonus)
Standard Market Pricing: Standard Unrebated Pricing (No Monthly Rebate)
Single-Bet Return
USD $187.72
+USD $87.72 net profit
Reload Bonus Equity
USD $0.00
No recurring free-play
- ✕Zero monthly net-loss rebate protection on your action
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Retail Rebate & Shading Loss:-USD $104.75 / mo
Official Sharp Desk Partner-110 Vegas Lines + Double Welcome Bonus (Free Monthly 5% Rebate)
YouWager.lv Official Sharp Desk+USD $304.75 Monthly Edge
Double Welcome Bonus + Free Monthly 5% Rebate + Honest -110 Vegas Lines
Vegas -110 Return
USD $190.91
+USD $90.91 profit
5% Monthly Rebate Edge
+USD $104.75
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Free-Play Equity
+USD $200.00
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Total Bankroll Edge
+USD $304.75
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