UFCSaturday, Nov 7, 10:05 PMML STEAM: Jonny Parsons +193 → +185 (+1.0% Win Prob)
Live Market at YouWager.lvJo
Fighter A • #24049
Jose Souza
Fair
66.2%
Jo
Fighter B • #24050
Jonny Parsons
Fair
33.8%
Fight MoneylineHold 3.84%
Opener: -230 / +193
Jose Souza-220
Jonny Parsons+185
No-Vig Fair ValueZero Hold
True Implied Win Probability
Jose Souza66.2% (-196)
Jonny Parsons33.8% (+196)
Total Rounds (O/U)
Opener: O/U 2.5
Over2.5 (-135)
Under2.5 (+116)
Sharp Market Signal:YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Jonny Parsons shifted from +193 to +185, a 1.0% implied win probability adjustment.
Fight Moneyline De-Vigging, Book Hold & Round Total Analysis
Jose Souza vs. Jonny Parsons live YouWager market pricing and no-vig probability breakdown.
No-Vig Win: Jose Souza 50% / Jonny Parsons 50%Hold: 4.55%
Line Movement History
Line Movement History
| Checkpoint | Timestamp | Total Rounds (O/U) | Jose Souza ML | Jonny Parsons ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPENING LINE | Nov 6, 12:46 PM | 2.5 (O -135 / U +116) | -230 | +193 |
| MOVE #1 | Nov 6, 4:49 PM | 2.5 (O -135 / U +116) | -255 | +212 |
| CURRENT LINE | Nov 6, 10:28 PM | 2.5 (O -135 / U +116) | -220 | +185 |
Quick Edge Bet Slip
Jose Souza vs. Jonny Parsons5% Rebate
Jose Souza vs. Jonny Parsons
Est. Cash Payout (-110 Vegas):USD $190.91
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Total Action Power:USD $290.91
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Select Your Typical Bet Size (USD)
Active Desk Line:Jose Souza vs. Jonny Parsons
Spread: Jose Souza vs. Jonny ParsonsTotal: O/U 2.5 (-135 / +116)
Retail Hold Drag0% Monthly Rebate
Standard Unboosted Bet (Without 5% Monthly Rebate or Bonus)
Standard Market Pricing: Standard Unrebated Pricing (No Monthly Rebate)
Single-Bet Return
USD $187.72
+USD $87.72 net profit
Reload Bonus Equity
USD $0.00
No recurring free-play
- ✕Zero monthly net-loss rebate protection on your action
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Retail Rebate & Shading Loss:-USD $104.75 / mo
Official Sharp Desk Partner-110 Vegas Lines + Double Welcome Bonus (Free Monthly 5% Rebate)
YouWager.lv Official Sharp Desk+USD $304.75 Monthly Edge
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Vegas -110 Return
USD $190.91
+USD $90.91 profit
5% Monthly Rebate Edge
+USD $104.75
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+USD $200.00
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Total Bankroll Edge
+USD $304.75
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