UFCSunday, Nov 8, 12:20 AMML STEAM: Gabriel Lorenco +145 → +140 (+0.8% Win Prob)
Live Market at YouWager.lvTh
Fighter A • #24057
Thomas Petersen
Fair
59.6%
Ga
Fighter B • #24058
Gabriel Lorenco
Fair
40.4%
Fight MoneylineHold 3.21%
Opener: -171 / +145
Thomas Petersen-160
Gabriel Lorenco+140
No-Vig Fair ValueZero Hold
True Implied Win Probability
Thomas Petersen59.6% (-148)
Gabriel Lorenco40.4% (+148)
Total Rounds (O/U)
Opener: O/U 1.5
Over1.5 (+124)
Under1.5 (-145)
Sharp Market Signal:YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Gabriel Lorenco shifted from +145 to +140, a 0.8% implied win probability adjustment.
Fight Moneyline De-Vigging, Book Hold & Round Total Analysis
Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel Lorenco live YouWager market pricing and no-vig probability breakdown.
No-Vig Win: Thomas Petersen 50% / Gabriel Lorenco 50%Hold: 4.55%
Line Movement History
Line Movement History
| Checkpoint | Timestamp | Total Rounds (O/U) | Thomas Petersen ML | Gabriel Lorenco ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPENING LINE | Nov 6, 12:46 PM | 1.5 (O +124 / U -145) | -171 | +145 |
| CURRENT LINE | Nov 6, 10:28 PM | 1.5 (O +124 / U -145) | -160 | +140 |
Quick Edge Bet Slip
Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel Lorenco5% Rebate
Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel Lorenco
Est. Cash Payout (-110 Vegas):USD $190.91
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Total Action Power:USD $290.91
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Active Desk Line:Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel Lorenco
Spread: Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel LorencoTotal: O/U 1.5 (+124 / -145)
Retail Hold Drag0% Monthly Rebate
Standard Unboosted Bet (Without 5% Monthly Rebate or Bonus)
Standard Market Pricing: Standard Unrebated Pricing (No Monthly Rebate)
Single-Bet Return
USD $187.72
+USD $87.72 net profit
Reload Bonus Equity
USD $0.00
No recurring free-play
- ✕Zero monthly net-loss rebate protection on your action
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Retail Rebate & Shading Loss:-USD $104.75 / mo
Official Sharp Desk Partner-110 Vegas Lines + Double Welcome Bonus (Free Monthly 5% Rebate)
YouWager.lv Official Sharp Desk+USD $304.75 Monthly Edge
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Vegas -110 Return
USD $190.91
+USD $90.91 profit
5% Monthly Rebate Edge
+USD $104.75
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Free-Play Equity
+USD $200.00
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Total Bankroll Edge
+USD $304.75
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