UFCSaturday, Nov 7, 11:20 PMML STEAM: Carlos Calderon +482 → +420 (-2.0% Win Prob)
Live Market at YouWager.lvCa
Fighter A • #24065
Carlos Calderon
Fair
18.5%
Au
Fighter B • #24066
Austin Bashi
Fair
81.5%
Fight MoneylineHold 3.85%
Opener: +482 / -650
Carlos Calderon+420
Austin Bashi-550
No-Vig Fair ValueZero Hold
True Implied Win Probability
Carlos Calderon18.5% (+440)
Austin Bashi81.5% (-440)
Total Rounds (O/U)
Opener: O/U 2.5
Over2.5 (-200)
Under2.5 (+169)
Sharp Market Signal:YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Carlos Calderon shifted from +482 to +420, a 2.0% implied win probability adjustment.
Fight Moneyline De-Vigging, Book Hold & Round Total Analysis
Carlos Calderon vs. Austin Bashi live YouWager market pricing and no-vig probability breakdown.
No-Vig Win: Carlos Calderon 50% / Austin Bashi 50%Hold: 4.55%
Line Movement History
Line Movement History
| Checkpoint | Timestamp | Total Rounds (O/U) | Carlos Calderon ML | Austin Bashi ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPENING LINE | Nov 6, 12:46 PM | 2.5 (O -200 / U +169) | +482 | -650 |
| CURRENT LINE | Nov 6, 3:01 PM | 2.5 (O -200 / U +169) | +420 | -550 |
Quick Edge Bet Slip
Carlos Calderon vs. Austin Bashi5% Rebate
Carlos Calderon vs. Austin Bashi
Est. Cash Payout (-110 Vegas):USD $190.91
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Total Action Power:USD $290.91
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Select Your Typical Bet Size (USD)
Active Desk Line:Carlos Calderon vs. Austin Bashi
Spread: Carlos Calderon vs. Austin BashiTotal: O/U 2.5 (-200 / +169)
Retail Hold Drag0% Monthly Rebate
Standard Unboosted Bet (Without 5% Monthly Rebate or Bonus)
Standard Market Pricing: Standard Unrebated Pricing (No Monthly Rebate)
Single-Bet Return
USD $187.72
+USD $87.72 net profit
Reload Bonus Equity
USD $0.00
No recurring free-play
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Retail Rebate & Shading Loss:-USD $104.75 / mo
Official Sharp Desk Partner-110 Vegas Lines + Double Welcome Bonus (Free Monthly 5% Rebate)
YouWager.lv Official Sharp Desk+USD $304.75 Monthly Edge
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Vegas -110 Return
USD $190.91
+USD $90.91 profit
5% Monthly Rebate Edge
+USD $104.75
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Free-Play Equity
+USD $200.00
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Total Bankroll Edge
+USD $304.75
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