TENNIS • Mens TennisFriday, Nov 6, 7:00 PMML STEAM: Carlos Alcaraz -290 → -320 (+1.8% Win Prob)
Live Market at YouWager.lvTa
Player A • #8119
Taylor Fritz
Fair
26.7%
Ca
Player B • #8120
Carlos Alcaraz
Fair
73.3%
Match MoneylineHold 3.97%
Opener: +237 / -290
Taylor Fritz+260
Carlos Alcaraz-320
No-Vig Fair ValueZero Hold
True Implied Win Probability
Taylor Fritz26.7% (+274)
Carlos Alcaraz73.3% (-274)
Total Games (O/U)
Opener: O/U 23.5
Over23.5 (-120)
Under23.5 (+102)
Sharp Market Signal:YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Carlos Alcaraz shifted from -290 to -320, a 1.8% implied win probability adjustment.
ATP / WTA Match Moneyline De-Vigging & Total Games Analysis
Taylor Fritz vs. Carlos Alcaraz live YouWager market pricing and no-vig probability breakdown.
No-Vig Win: Taylor Fritz 50% / Carlos Alcaraz 50%Hold: 4.55%
Line Movement History
Line Movement History
| Checkpoint | Timestamp | Total Games (O/U) | Taylor Fritz ML | Carlos Alcaraz ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPENING LINE | Nov 6, 12:45 PM | 23.5 (O -120 / U +102) | +237 | -290 |
| CURRENT LINE | Nov 6, 6:51 PM | 23.5 (O -120 / U +102) | +260 | -320 |
Quick Edge Bet Slip
Taylor Fritz vs. Carlos Alcaraz5% Rebate
Taylor Fritz vs. Carlos Alcaraz
Est. Cash Payout (-110 Vegas):USD $190.91
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Total Action Power:USD $290.91
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Active Desk Line:Taylor Fritz vs. Carlos Alcaraz
Spread: Taylor Fritz vs. Carlos AlcarazTotal: O/U 23.5 (-120 / +102)
Retail Hold Drag0% Monthly Rebate
Standard Unboosted Bet (Without 5% Monthly Rebate or Bonus)
Standard Market Pricing: Standard Unrebated Pricing (No Monthly Rebate)
Single-Bet Return
USD $187.72
+USD $87.72 net profit
Reload Bonus Equity
USD $0.00
No recurring free-play
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Retail Rebate & Shading Loss:-USD $104.75 / mo
Official Sharp Desk Partner-110 Vegas Lines + Double Welcome Bonus (Free Monthly 5% Rebate)
YouWager.lv Official Sharp Desk+USD $304.75 Monthly Edge
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Vegas -110 Return
USD $190.91
+USD $90.91 profit
5% Monthly Rebate Edge
+USD $104.75
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Free-Play Equity
+USD $200.00
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Total Bankroll Edge
+USD $304.75
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