Brad Underwood’s Triple-Digit Offense Faces Its Real Test After Lubbock
Averaging 103.3 points behind Andrej Stojakovic, Quentin Coleman, and 7-foot-1 Tomislav Ivisic, No. 3 Illinois enters a defining stretch toward Cameron Indoor Stadium after an 84-78 stumble at Texas Tech.
Illinois Fighting Illini Odds & Splits →
- ▪Senior wing Andrej Stojakovic (21.0 PPG on 61.5% shooting) and freshman guard Quentin Coleman (17.0 PPG, 5-of-6 3PT at Texas Tech) headline Brad Underwood’s 103.3-point offense.
- ▪Illinois has made a staggering 80 of 104 2-point shots (76.9%) across three games, anchored by high-post playmaker Tomislav Ivisic (7-foot-1) and twin brother Zvonimir Ivisic (7-foot-2).
- ▪Tuesday’s 84-78 road loss at No. 16 Texas Tech exposed two early pressure points: an 8-for-19 free-throw night (56.9% on the season) and dipping from 63.5 rebounds per game at home to 32 boards.
- ▪Holding +1200 national championship odds, Illinois hosts Sam Houston on Friday before facing No. 2 Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium (Nov. 17) and No. 4 UConn in Chicago (Dec. 4).
Under the bright rafters of United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock on Tuesday night, freshman guard Quentin Coleman buried his fifth 3-pointer in six tries to drag No. 3 Illinois back within striking distance, yet an early first-half hole proved too steep to erase in an 84-78 defeat against No. 16 Texas Tech. Allowing Red Raiders guard Cruz Davis to pour in 13 of his 20 points before intermission handed the Fighting Illini their first blemish while extending Lubbock’s nonconference home winning streak to 49 games.
One tight six-point road setback hardly dims the offensive fireworks head coach Brad Underwood has unleashed in Champaign to open the 2026-27 season. Having blitzed Fairleigh Dickinson 120-45 and Pennsylvania 112-70 at State Farm Center prior to Tuesday’s trip south, 2-1 Illinois still averages a staggering 103.3 points and 53.0 rebounds per game, backing up its +1200 national championship odds ahead of next week’s heavyweight visit to No. 2 Duke.
Andrej Stojakovic and Quentin Coleman Drive a Modern Five-Out Attack
Underwood’s offensive architecture thrives when big, downhill guards pressure the paint and force rotations before defenses can set their heels, and senior wing Andrej Stojakovic has embraced the alpha scoring role effortlessly. The 6-foot-7, 205-pound veteran needed just 20 minutes to drop 20 points and seven rebounds on 9-of-11 shooting against Fairleigh Dickinson, exploded for 25 points on 9-of-17 shooting in 22 minutes against Penn, and added 18 points across 33 minutes at Texas Tech—averaging 21.0 points per game on an ultra-clean 24-of-39 (61.5 percent) clip from the floor.
Right beside Stojakovic, 6-foot-4 freshman Quentin Coleman has emerged as one of the premier instant-impact newcomers in the Big Ten. Coleman opened his college career near a triple-double with 13 points, 10 rebounds, and six assists in 23 minutes against Fairleigh Dickinson, followed with 19 points on 8-of-9 shooting versus Penn, and matched that 19-point output alongside five boards and four assists on 7-of-9 shooting (5-of-6 from deep) in Lubbock. Paired with freshmen guards Ethan Brown and Lincoln Williams plus sophomore Stefan Vaaks (10 points off the bench at Texas Tech), Champaign’s perimeter pipeline is relentless.
Historic Interior Finishing Meets Alarming Free-Throw Woes
The underlying shooting splits from Illinois’s first three outings read like a video game inside the 3-point arc. Across 600 player minutes, the Fighting Illini have converted an astonishing 80 of 104 2-point field-goal attempts—good for 76.9 percent inside the arc—fueling a 55.1 percent overall field-goal clip and a 0.64 shooting efficiency mark (which accounts for the added value of 3-point makes, where Illinois hits 13.0 per game on 37.3 attempts). Moving the ball for 22.0 assists against 14.0 turnovers per game (a 1.6 assist-to-turnover ratio), Illinois carves up soft paint coverage at will.
Lubbock, however, exposed two immediate vulnerabilities that Underwood must shore up before conference play begins across the 18-team Big Ten. First, after dominating the glass 65-to-nothing in spirit against Fairleigh Dickinson (65 rebounds) and Penn (62 rebounds) to average 53.0 boards and 15.7 offensive rebounds per game, Illinois managed only 32 total rebounds against Texas Tech’s physical frontline while shooting 10-of-34 (29.4 percent) from deep. Even more glaring was the foul line: Illinois went 8-for-19 at the charity stripe in a six-point loss, dragging its season free-throw mark down to a perilous 56.9 percent (33-of-58).
3Illinois Fighting Illini(2-1)VS.D-I Top-100 Avg
3Illinois78.1
3Illinois132.4
3Illinois64.1%
3Illinois34.8%Twin Seven-Footers Anchor Rim Protection and High-Low Passing
Few coaches in America deploy center skill quite like Underwood does with 7-foot-1, 270-pound senior Tomislav Ivisic and his 7-foot-2, 250-pound twin brother Zvonimir Ivisic. Rather than parking exclusively on the low block, Tomislav operates as an offensive hub at the top of the key—dishing out seven assists in 20 minutes against Penn before posting 14 points, six rebounds, and three assists across 30 minutes at Texas Tech. His ability to pull opposing rim protectors 24 feet from the basket directly unlocks the cutting lanes Stojakovic, Coleman, and Williams exploit.
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Off the bench, Zvonimir Ivisic grabbed nine rebounds with six points in 15 minutes against Penn, teaming with 6-foot-10 junior Jason Jakstys and 6-foot-7 freshman forward Zavier Zens to keep fresh length on the floor for all 40 minutes. Zens flashed big-time scoring punch in Champaign’s opening homestand—scoring 12 points in 24 minutes against Fairleigh Dickinson and 18 points in 21 minutes versus Penn—while 6-foot-9 sophomore forward David Mirkovic and senior Jake Davis provide additional frontcourt depth.
Cameron Indoor and UConn Loom on a Brutal Nonconference Runway
Underwood intentionally scheduled elite away-from-home crucibles so his young guards would never be rattled by January and February 2027 Big Ten road venues, and the degree of difficulty spikes immediately. After returning to State Farm Center on Friday against Sam Houston, No. 3 Illinois travels to Durham on November 17 to face No. 2 Duke inside Cameron Indoor Stadium—a showcase opportunity to immediately reclaim every ounce of resume equity lost in Lubbock.
Three November home dates in Champaign against Eastern Illinois (November 20), Winthrop (November 23), and Western Kentucky (November 27) lead directly into another blockbuster test on December 4: a showdown with No. 4 UConn at Chicago’s United Center. Navigating Texas Tech, Duke, and UConn inside the opening five weeks will harden freshmen Coleman, Brown, Williams, and Zens long before Illinois clashes with fellow top-10 Big Ten contenders No. 5 Michigan State and No. 9 UCLA.
2027 Contention Outlook: Elite Ceiling With Clear Fixable Flaws
Dropping a tight November road battle against a ranked opponent riding a 49-game nonconference home streak is precisely the type of constructive scar tissue championship contenders absorb early. Even in defeat at Texas Tech, Illinois converted 20 of 26 2-point shots (76.9 percent), proving its downhill rim pressure and high-post spacing translate against high-major length. Clean up the first-half defensive communication and hit a normal 75 percent of those 19 free throws, and the Illini fly home from Texas unbeaten.
With Stojakovic scoring efficiently at all three levels, Coleman playing years beyond his freshman class, and Tomislav Ivisic orchestrating from the perimeter, Illinois owns top-five national offensive firepower. If Underwood tightens defensive rebounding in physical road environments and cures the 56.9 percent free-throw slump, the Fighting Illini remain prime threats to capture both the Big Ten crown and a 2027 Final Four berth.
Road Loss at Texas Tech Creates Strategic Entry Window on +1200 Title Futures
Oddsmakers price No. 3 Illinois alone as the second-shortest national title choice in this cohort at +1200, carrying a 7.7 percent implied championship probability behind only +650 favorite Florida. While casual bettors may flinch at Tuesday’s 84-78 setback in Lubbock, underlying shot-quality metrics validate why the market respects Champaign: shooting 76.9 percent on 2-pointers across three games while averaging 103.3 points and 22.0 assists signals elite, repeatable half-court creation.
With no live single-game spread posted yet for Friday’s tune-up against Sam Houston or the November 17 clash at No. 2 Duke, patience offers real leverage on the futures board. Should Illinois stumble at Cameron Indoor Stadium before healing its 56.9 percent free-throw shooting during late-November home play, any drift from +1200 toward +1400 or +1600 ahead of the December 4 neutral-site test versus No. 4 UConn becomes an immediate buy signal.
Frequently Asked Questions
Sharp Wire Market DeskWhat are the Illinois Fighting Illini’s 2027 national championship odds?
No. 3 Illinois sits at +1200 to win the 2027 NCAA Tournament (7.7 percent implied probability), the shortest Big Ten price on the board ahead of No. 5 Michigan State (+1800) and No. 9 UCLA (+3500).
How did Illinois perform in its road test at Texas Tech?
Illinois fell 84-78 at No. 16 Texas Tech on Tuesday despite 19 points from freshman Quentin Coleman and 18 from Andrej Stojakovic, undone by an early deficit and 8-of-19 foul shooting.
Who are Illinois’s marquee upcoming opponents in November and December?
Following Friday’s home game against Sam Houston, Brad Underwood’s Illini visit No. 2 Duke on November 17 and meet No. 4 UConn at Chicago’s United Center on December 4.












































































































