NFL • 8:15 PM ET-0.5
Washington Commanders
+1.5+2
New York Giants
-1.5-2
NFL • Sun 9:30 AM ET
New England Patriots
5-4
Detroit Lions
6-2
NFL • Sun 1:00 PM ET
Kansas City Chiefs
6-2
Atlanta Falcons
3-6
NFL • Sun 1:00 PM ET
Houston Texans
3-5
Cleveland Browns
5-4
NFL • Sun 1:00 PM ET
Minnesota Vikings
6-2
Green Bay Packers
6-3
NFL • Sun 1:00 PM ET
Jacksonville Jaguars
6-2
Tennessee Titans
1-7
NFL • Sun 1:00 PM ET
Miami Dolphins
1-7
Indianapolis Colts
2-7
NFL • Sun 1:00 PM ET
Carolina Panthers
3-5
New Orleans Saints
3-5
NFL • Sun 1:00 PM ET
Buffalo Bills
7-1
New York Jets
2-7
NFL • Sun 4:05 PM ET
Seattle Seahawks
5-4
Las Vegas Raiders
4-5
NFL • Sun 4:05 PM ET
Los Angeles Rams
5-4
Arizona Cardinals
3-6
NFL • Sun 4:25 PM ET
San Francisco 49ers
7-1
Dallas Cowboys
4-5
NFL • Sun 8:20 PM ET
Pittsburgh Steelers
6-2
Cincinnati Bengals
6-2
NFL • Mon 8:15 PM ET
Los Angeles Chargers
0-8
Baltimore Ravens
4-5
CFB • 8:00 PM ET-1.5
Memphis
-5-3.5
South Florida
+5+3.5
CFB • 9:00 PM ET-0.5
UL Lafayette
-10.5-10
UL Monroe
+10.5+10
CFB • Fri 7:00 PM ET+0.5
Florida State
+4+3.5
Pittsburgh
-4-3.5
CFB • Fri 9:00 PM ETO/U ▲1
Illinois
+10
4UCLA
-10
CFB • Fri 10:15 PM ET-1.5
14Houston
-11-9.5
Colorado
+11+9.5
CFB • Sat 12:00 PM ET-3.5
13Wake Forest
-2.5+1
SMU
+2.5-1
CFB • Sat 12:00 PM ET-1.5
Northwestern
+12.5+14
20Ohio State
-12.5-14
CFB • Sat 12:00 PM ET KEY #
Cincinnati
+1+3
Iowa State
-1-3
CFB • Sat 12:00 PM ETO/U ▲0.5
Auburn
-2.5
Mississippi State
+2.5
CFB • Sat 12:00 PM ETO/U ▼1
Syracuse
-3
NC State
+3
CFB • Sat 12:00 PM ET+1.5
Wisconsin
-7.5-9
Maryland
+7.5+9
CFB • Sat 12:00 PM ET+0.5
James Madison
-3.5-4
Connecticut
+3.5+4
CFB • Sat 12:00 PM ETO/U ▲1
Duke
+13.5
Miami Florida
-13.5
CFB • Sat 12:30 PM ET-0.5
Georgia Tech
+13+13.5
Clemson
-13-13.5
CFB • Sat 12:30 PM ET+1.5
Nebraska
-13.5-15
Rutgers
+13.5+15
CFB • Sat 12:45 PM ETO/U ▼2
3Alabama
-17.5
Vanderbilt
+17.5
CFB • Sat 1:00 PM ET+1
East Carolina
-11-12
Charlotte
+11+12
CFB • Sat 1:00 PM ETO/U ▼0.5
UAB
+2.5
Temple
-2.5
CFB • Sat 1:00 PM ETO/U 51.5
Arkansas State
+1
Coastal Carolina
-1
CFB • Sat 2:00 PM ET-1.5
Kansas State
+9+10.5
TCU
-9-10.5
CFB • Sat 2:00 PM ET+0.5
Tulane
+3+2.5
Rice
-3-2.5
CFB • Sat 2:00 PM ET-1.5
Kennesaw State
-9-7.5
Sam Houston State
+9+7.5
CFB • Sat 3:00 PM ETO/U ▲1
8Tennessee
-2.5
Texas A&M
+2.5
CFB • Sat 3:00 PM ETO/U 48.5
New Mexico State
+1
Missouri State
-1
CFB • Sat 3:00 PM ET-0.5
Florida International
+4.5+5
Delaware
-4.5-5
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ET-1.5
22Missouri
+14.5+16
1Georgia
-14.5-16
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ETO/U 53
Boston College
+29.5
5Notre Dame
-29.5
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ET-2.5
18USC
+7.5+10
9Indiana
-7.5-10
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ETO/U ▼1
Baylor
+7.5
10BYU
-7.5
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ET-1
Michigan
+10+11
16Oregon
-10-11
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ETO/U 49
Arizona State
+3
Central Florida
-3
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ET+2.5
California
+12.5+10
Virginia
-12.5-10
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ET-1
Florida Atlantic
+4.5+5.5
Tulsa
-4.5-5.5
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ETO/U ▲2
Nevada
-7
Northern Illinois
+7
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ET+0.5
Georgia Southern
-5.5-6
Georgia State
+5.5+6
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ETO/U ▲2
Jacksonville State
-7.5
Western Kentucky
+7.5
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ET+0.5
Middle Tennessee State
+21.5+21
Liberty
-21.5-21
CFB • Sat 4:00 PM ET+0.5
Fresno State
+10+9.5
Texas State
-10-9.5
CFB • Sat 4:15 PM ETO/U ▼0.5
19Ole Miss
-1
Oklahoma
+1
CFB • Sat 4:15 PM ETO/U ▼0.5
Washington
-3.5
Michigan State
+3.5
CFB • Sat 5:00 PM ETO/U ▲1
SOSouthern Ole Miss
+17.5
Louisiana Tech
-17.5
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CFBNCAA FootballAnalysisKeelon Russell's 9.1 yards per pass attempt (tied-13th in FBS) and 18-to-5 TD-to-INT ratio cracked an LSU defense allowing just 261.1 total yards per game (6th in FBS), validating Alabama's +675 CFP title price.

Keelon Russell's Baton Rouge Masterclass: How Alabama's Vertical Evolution Unlocked Title Upside

Cracking an LSU defense that ranks sixth nationally in total yards allowed proved Kalen DeBoer and Keelon Russell have solved Alabama's midseason offensive identity crisis.

Sharp Wire College Football Desk
FBS Matchup & Line Movement Desk•Nov 11, 2026, 3:41 AM ET
Keelon Russell's Baton Rouge Masterclass: How Alabama's Vertical Evolution Unlocked Title Upside
The Betting Takeaway
  • ▪Keelon Russell led 7-2 Alabama to a 31-13 road win at LSU, pushing his 2026 totals to 2,263 passing yards, 18 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions at 9.1 yards per attempt.
  • ▪Alabama solved an LSU defense that entered ranked 6th nationally in total yards allowed (261.1 YPG) and 7th against the run (2.7 yards per carry).
  • ▪Pass protection remains Alabama's lone red flag: 25 sacks allowed (tied-116th in FBS), requiring quick-game rhythm to protect its No. 3 CFP ranking.
  • ▪Lane Kiffin's 6-3 LSU Tigers (+1800 futures) rank 5th in FBS passing yardage (324.9 YPG) behind Sam Leavitt (2,553 yards) and Jackson Harris (800 receiving yards) but face elimination tests vs. No. 6 Texas and at No. 8 Tennessee.

Midway through the third quarter under the Saturday night lights in Baton Rouge, Death Valley's notorious crowd noise evaporated into stunned silence. Facing a disguised two-high safety rotation from one of the stingiest defenses in college football, Alabama quarterback Keelon Russell reset his feet inside a collapsing pocket and ripped a 30-yard strike between coverage zones to extend a decisive Crimson Tide drive. By the time the scoreboard settled on a 31-13 Alabama victory, Kalen DeBoer's offense had authored the sharpest road tape of the 2026 SEC campaign.

That 18-point triumph in Baton Rouge did far more than knock Lane Kiffin's 6-3 LSU Tigers down to No. 21 in Tuesday night's College Football Playoff rankings. Coming two weeks after a frustrating 26-10 road loss at Tennessee—and directly following a gritty 31-20 rebound over Texas A&M—Alabama's systematic dissection of LSU vaulted the 7-2 Crimson Tide to No. 3 nationally and cemented their +675 championship futures status.

Cracking LSU's Sixth-Ranked Defense Through Layered Tempo

To appreciate why evaluators graded Russell's Baton Rouge performance so highly, start with the caliber of defense standing across the line of scrimmage. Entering Saturday night after shutting out Mississippi State 31-0 and routing Auburn 38-17 on the road, LSU ranked sixth nationally in total defense at 261.1 yards allowed per game, allowing a microscopic 4.1 yards per play, 2.7 yards per carry (seventh in FBS), and 17.7 points per game (20th).

Trying to bludgeon that LSU front head-on would have played directly into Baton Rouge's hands, especially given Alabama's modest rushing output of 143.8 yards per game (87th nationally) and 4.3 yards per carry. Instead, DeBoer used pre-snap motion, bunched receiver stacks, and eye-manipulation concepts to widen LSU's linebackers horizontally before attacking intermediate voids behind them.

Russell executed that blueprint without flinching. Through nine games in 2026, the dynamic passer has completed 165 of 245 attempts (67.2 percent, tied for 26th nationally as a team) for 2,263 yards, 18 touchdowns, and just five interceptions. Averaging 9.1 yards per pass attempt—tied for 13th across all 134 FBS programs—Alabama forced LSU out of aggressive press-man looks and turned routine completions into explosive chunk gains.

Rico Scott, Perimeter Spacing, and Alabama's Pass-Protection Tightrope

Vertical passing efficiency never happens in a vacuum; it requires perimeter separators who win leverage early in the route stem. Wideout Rico Scott has emerged as Russell's go-to downfield target, hauling in 31 receptions for 501 yards (16.2 yards per catch) and three scores, while complementary receivers Lotzeir Brooks, MJ Chirgwin, Ryan Coleman-Williams, and tight end Jude Cascone stretch safeties from hash to sideline. In the backfield, Trae'shawn Brown (75 carries, 359 yards, five touchdowns) alongside EJ Crowell and AK Dear provided just enough check-down and inside-zone honesty to keep LSU's edge rushers from pinning their ears back.

Even in victory, however, the film underscores the single vulnerability that separates 7-2 Alabama from unbeaten perfection: pass protection and negative plays. Across nine contests, the Crimson Tide offensive line—anchored in rotation by Chris Booker, Nick Brooks, Michael Carroll, and Bryson Cooley—has surrendered 25 sacks (tied for 116th nationally in FBS) for 161 sack yards lost.

Against Tennessee two weeks earlier, those protection breakdowns stalled drives and left Alabama stuck on 10 points. Against LSU, Russell neutralized the rush by accelerating his internal clock, sliding subtly within the pocket rather than bailing backward, and punishing blitzes with hot throws. Sustaining that quick-trigger discipline against elite defensive fronts in December and January 2027 will dictate how far Tuscaloosa climbs.

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Why Sam Leavitt and Lane Kiffin's 6-3 Tigers Stalled in the Red Zone

On the opposite sideline, Saturday's 31-13 setback highlighted the razor-thin margin facing Lane Kiffin's 6-3 LSU squad (+1800 championship futures). On paper, LSU boasts one of the nation's premier aerial volumes, ranking fifth nationally in net passing offense at 324.9 yards per game and 18th in scoring at 37.1 points per outing. Quarterback Sam Leavitt has completed 68.3 percent of his passes (215-of-303, 16th nationally in team completion rate) for 2,553 yards and 17 touchdowns, forming an electric connection with receiver Jackson Harris (47 catches, 800 yards, seven touchdowns) and tailback Dilin Jones (166 carries, 713 yards, seven scores).

Yet Alabama exposed the turnover and red-zone volatility underneath LSU's gaudy yardage totals. Leavitt has thrown nine interceptions this season (a 2.60 percent team interception rate, tied for 81st nationally), and Alabama's run defense—ranked 16th in FBS at 3.0 opponent yards per carry—walled off Jones and Harlem Berry early, forcing LSU into predictable third-and-long passing downs.

Although Alabama's secondary has yielded 7.9 yards per pass attempt over the full season (115th in FBS), the Crimson Tide tightened coverage windows inside their own 30-yard line in Baton Rouge, trading harmless underneath completions for red-zone stops and field-goal attempts while Russell cashed touchdowns on the other end.

Diverging November Runways for Tuscaloosa and Baton Rouge

Exiting Death Valley with win number seven completely bifurcated the CFP math for both programs. Sitting at No. 3 in the rankings, Alabama closes the regular season with a road date at Vanderbilt on November 14 followed by consecutive home games in Tuscaloosa against Chattanooga (November 21) and rival Auburn in the Iron Bowl (November 28). Sweeping that trio virtually guarantees a 10-2 Playoff berth and keeps SEC title scenarios alive.

For No. 21 LSU at 6-3, every remaining Saturday is sudden death, yet the Tigers immediately get a golden chance to play spoiler and resurrect their résumé: hosting 7-2 No. 6 Texas this Saturday night before road trips to No. 8 Tennessee (November 21) and Arkansas (November 28). If Kiffin's sixth-ranked defense rebounds at home, Baton Rouge will remain the ultimate measuring stick of the SEC gauntlet.

SHARP WIRE BETTING ANGLECHAMPIONSHIP CEILING VERDICT

Pricing Alabama (+675) vs. LSU (+1800) in CFP Championship Futures

Oddsmakers wasted zero time adjusting championship futures after watching Keelon Russell dismantle LSU's top-10 statistical defense on the road. At +675, Alabama sits second among SEC programs behind only Georgia (+250), reflecting an offense that ranks 16th nationally in scoring (37.4 PPG) and tied for 13th in yards per pass attempt (9.1) alongside a closing schedule (@ Vanderbilt, vs. Chattanooga, vs. Auburn) heavily conducive to a 10-2 finish.

Conversely, LSU's +1800 futures price is a classic trap despite Baton Rouge's elite metrics (261.1 YPG allowed, 324.9 passing YPG). With three losses already on the ledger and consecutive clashes against No. 6 Texas and at No. 8 Tennessee ahead, LSU carries virtually zero margin for error to reach the January 2027 bracket, whereas Alabama's vertical passing evolution gives Tuscaloosa true four-round tournament equity.

Alabama CFP Title Futures
+675 (No. 3 CFP)
LSU CFP Title Futures
+1800 (No. 21 CFP)
Alabama Passing Explosiveness
9.1 Yds/Att (T-13th FBS)
LSU Total Defense Rank
261.1 YPG (6th FBS)
Execution Trigger:Hold or accumulate Alabama (+675) in CFP championship futures over three-loss LSU (+1800), monitoring Crimson Tide pass-protection sack rates across the final three November outings.
Live College Football spreads, derivatives, and futures via YouWager.lv

Frequently Asked Questions

Sharp Wire Market Desk

How did Keelon Russell perform in Alabama's win at LSU?

Russell used layered intermediate passing and pocket poise to dissect LSU's sixth-ranked total defense in a 31-13 road victory, elevating 7-2 Alabama to No. 3 in Tuesday's CFP rankings.

What are Alabama's and LSU's current CFP National Championship futures odds?

Entering mid-November 2026, No. 3 Alabama is priced at +675 to win the national championship in January 2027, while 6-3 No. 21 LSU sits at +1800.

Who leads LSU's offense in 2026 under head coach Lane Kiffin?

Quarterback Sam Leavitt leads LSU with 2,553 passing yards and 17 touchdowns (68.3% completion), supported by running back Dilin Jones (713 rushing yards, 7 TDs) and wide receiver Jackson Harris (47 catches, 800 yards, 7 TDs).

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