Post-Gonzaga Power Vacuum Ignites a Bay Area Three-Way War Atop the WCC
With Spokane's longtime juggernaut off to the Pac-12, unbeaten Santa Clara and San Francisco collide with Mickey McConnell's Saint Mary's Gaels in the most wide-open West Coast Conference race in three decades.

- ▪Predicted 2026-27 WCC Champion: Herb Sendek's Santa Clara Broncos (3-0) seize the post-Gonzaga throne behind jumbo guards Jake Ensminger, Thierry Darlan, Elijah Mahi, and David Castillo.
- ▪Unbeaten San Francisco (3-0) led by 7-foot center Ismaila Diagne and Ndewedo Newbury joins Mickey McConnell's Saint Mary's Gaels (2-1, +75000) in a fierce three-team Bay Area title chase.
- ▪Newcomers Seattle U (1-1) and Denver (0-2) round out the 10-team alignment alongside early 2-0 dark horse Pacific under veteran coach Dave Smart.
- ▪March 2027 Bid Outlook: Without Spokane's top-15 net anchor, the WCC projects as a high-stakes one-to-two-bid league where non-conference wins before January 2027 are mandatory.
Inside Santa Clara's Leavey Center, 6-foot-9 senior guard Jake Ensminger corrals a long defensive rebound, pushes across half court in three rangy strides, and hits 6-foot-8 senior guard Thierry Darlan cutting baseline for a rim-rattling finish that caps another unbeaten Broncos night. Across the Bay Area, rival coaching staffs who spent a quarter-century measuring every recruiting class against Spokane suddenly sense blood in the water.
For the first time in nearly three decades, the West Coast Conference banner is genuinely up for grabs after Gonzaga, alongside temporary affiliates Oregon State and Washington State, departed for the rebuilt Pac-12. Reconfigured to 10 programs with the additions of Seattle U and Denver, the 2026-27 WCC opens as a ferocious Bay Area triangle among 3-0 Santa Clara, 3-0 San Francisco, and a transitioning 2-1 Saint Mary's squad.
Herb Sendek’s Positional Giants Versus Hilltop’s Unbeaten Defensive Bite
Nobody in the league enters this new era with cleaner structural continuity than Herb Sendek's Santa Clara Broncos. Off to a 3-0 start—all three victories secured at home—Sendek has assembled an NBA-sized perimeter group that overwhelms mid-major backcourts on both ends of the floor. Pairing 6-foot-9 guard Jake Ensminger and 6-foot-8 guard Thierry Darlan alongside physical 6-foot-6 senior wing Elijah Mahi and 6-foot-7 junior forward Chris Tadjo gives Santa Clara elite switchability and two-point defensive field-goal suppression, while dynamic junior guards David Castillo and Sash Gavalyugov supply crisp pick-and-roll shot creation and high true shooting percentage (TS%, overall scoring efficiency factoring in twos, threes, and free throws).
Right across the bay on the Hilltop, the San Francisco Dons have matched Santa Clara stride for stride at 3-0 behind three straight home wins and suffocating rim deterrence. Anchored by 7-foot junior center Ismaila Diagne and 6-foot-11 freshman forward Ziga Daneu, San Francisco erases driving lanes inside while deploying versatile 6-foot-7 senior forward Ndewedo Newbury, 6-foot-7 senior guard Abdul Bashir, and 6-foot-6 junior forward Ben Oosterbaan to space the arc. With junior guard Aidan Braccia and freshman Dylan Bordon keeping the turnover rate (TOV%, percentage of possessions lost to giveaways) low, the Dons possess the balanced offensive and defensive efficiency profile required to grind through January 2027 road dates.
Moraga’s Coaching Hand-Off: Mickey McConnell Takes the Wheel at Saint Mary’s
Any projection dismissing Moraga does so at its own peril, even amid a generational transition on the sideline. Former Gael point guard great Mickey McConnell now helms the Saint Mary's Gaels (2-1, 2-0 at home), inheriting a program culture synonymous with deliberate pace—possessions per 40 minutes—and punishing glass control. Oddsmakers still list Saint Mary's at +75000 on the national championship futures board, ahead of Santa Clara (+100000), signaling deep market respect for Moraga's half-court infrastructure.
McConnell's roster lacks nothing in interior size. Seven-foot junior center Jazz Gardner, 6-foot-11 sophomore center Salih Altuntas, 6-foot-10 senior forward Thomas Ndong, and 6-foot-9 junior forward Jalen Lewis form a bruising frontcourt rotation capable of dominating defensive rebound rate (DRB%, the percentage of opponent misses secured) against anyone in the West. The swing variable for Saint Mary's rests on how rapidly junior guard Joshua Dent and senior guard Jeremy Dent-Smith master late-clock ball-screen reads against top-100 defenses when conference double round-robin play tips off.
| Seed / Team | Overall | Conf | GB | Home / Road | PT DIFF | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Santa Clara Broncos | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 3-0 / 0-0 | +48 | W3 |
2. San Francisco Dons | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0.0 | 3-0 / 0-0 | +28 | W3 |
3. Pacific Tigers | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0.5 | 1-0 / 1-0 | +66 | W2 |
4. Portland Pilots | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0.5 | 1-0 / 1-0 | +121 | W2 |
5. Pepperdine Waves | 2-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2-0 / 0-1 | +112 | W2 |
6. Saint Mary's Gaels | 2-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2-0 / 0-0 | +45 | L1 |
7. San Diego Toreros | 2-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2-0 / 0-1 | +15 | L1 |
8. Seattle U Redhawks | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1.5 | 1-0 / 0-1 | +18 | W1 |
Dave Smart’s Pacific Surge, Pacific Northwest Grit, and Southern California Wild Cards
Look beneath the Bay Area trio and intriguing coaching storylines populate the middle of this 10-team table. In Stockton, legendary Canadian tactician Dave Smart has the Pacific Tigers off to an eye-opening 2-0 start—including a road victory—built around veteran senior guards Dominick Harris and CJ Jones (6-foot-5) plus twin rim protectors Ivan Matlekovic (7-foot junior) and Jacob McFarland (6-foot-11 junior). Up in the Pacific Northwest, Shantay Legans has guided the Portland Pilots to 3-1 behind senior guards Hunter Adam, Kaia Isaac, and Riley Parker alongside 6-foot-10 junior forward James O'Donnell, while conference newcomer Seattle U (1-1) brings Chris Victor's gritty defensive identity to the league behind senior point guard Maleek Arington, 6-foot-7 senior Will Heimbrodt, and 6-foot-10 center Halvine Dzellat.
Southern California and the Rockies round out the conference's competitive depth. Griff Aldrich's Pepperdine Waves (2-1, 2-0 in Malibu) feature experienced senior guard Will McClendon and 6-foot-9 senior forward Youri Fritz, while J.R. Blount's San Diego Toreros (2-1, 2-0 at home) lean on 6-foot-6 senior guard Dusty Stromer and 6-foot-9 senior Jevon Hill. Stan Johnson's Loyola Marymount Lions have stumbled to 1-2 despite intriguing wing length in 6-foot-11 senior Jevon Porter, senior Aaron McBride, and 6-foot-8 junior Zion Sensley, and Tim Bergstraser's Denver Pioneers (0-2, both losses on the road) face an uphill acclimation curve despite 7-foot senior center Baba Mbengue and senior forwards Spencer Mahoney and Harry Bates.
2026-27 WCC Winner Prediction and Orleans Arena Postseason Outlook
From a national bracketology lens, Gonzaga's exit fundamentally alters the WCC's March 2027 math. Without a top-15 anchor providing multiple Quadrant 1 conference opportunities inside league play, the WCC's margin for earning a second NCAA Tournament bid shrinks dramatically unless Santa Clara, San Francisco, or Saint Mary's stockpiles marquee non-conference victories before Christmas and avoids Quadrant 3 landmines in January and February 2027. Every head-to-head clash among the Bay Area three will carry double-swing bubble leverage.
Official Conference Winner Prediction: Santa Clara Broncos. After years of knocking on the door behind powerhouse foes, Herb Sendek finally holds both the coaching continuity and the premier positional length in the league. Between Castillo's perimeter creation, Mahi's physicality on the wing, and the unmatched defensive versatility of Ensminger and Darlan, Santa Clara outlasts San Francisco and Mickey McConnell's Saint Mary's squad to capture the 2026-27 WCC crown and punch its March 2027 ticket in Las Vegas.
Why Santa Clara (+100000) Offers Sharper WCC Upside Than Moraga’s Habitual Tax
National futures oddsmakers list Saint Mary's at +75000 and Santa Clara at +100000 while leaving unbeaten San Francisco off the main top-100 board entirely—a pricing structure rooted heavily in historical brand memory rather than November 2026 roster continuity. While Saint Mary's commands respect for its frontcourt size, breaking in a new head coach in Mickey McConnell introduces natural half-court variance during tight road finishes.
Quantitatively, Santa Clara combines established sideline continuity under Herb Sendek with rare mid-major positional length across positions one through four, making the Broncos the highest-floor play in WCC conference futures. Meanwhile, Dave Smart's 2-0 Pacific squad and Chris Victor's Seattle U defense profile as live home underdogs once conference spreads open in January 2027.
Frequently Asked Questions
Sharp Wire Market DeskWho will win the West Coast Conference in 2026-27?
We predict Herb Sendek's Santa Clara Broncos (3-0) to win the 2026-27 West Coast Conference championship, leveraging superior coaching continuity and elite perimeter size over San Francisco and Saint Mary's.
How did conference realignment change the WCC for the 2026-27 season?
Gonzaga, along with temporary affiliates Oregon State and Washington State, departed for the rebuilt Pac-12, while the Seattle U Redhawks and Denver Pioneers joined to form a 10-team WCC.
Who coaches Saint Mary's basketball in 2026-27?
Former Gaels standout guard Mickey McConnell leads Saint Mary's (2-1) in 2026-27, guiding a frontcourt anchored by 7-foot junior center Jazz Gardner and 6-foot-10 senior Thomas Ndong.





















































































































