NFL • 8:15 PM ET-0.5
Washington Commanders
+1.5+2
New York Giants
-1.5-2
NFL • Sun 9:30 AM ET
New England Patriots
5-4
Detroit Lions
6-2
NFL • Sun 1:00 PM ET
Kansas City Chiefs
6-2
Atlanta Falcons
3-6
NFL • Sun 1:00 PM ET
Houston Texans
3-5
Cleveland Browns
5-4
NFL • Sun 1:00 PM ET
Minnesota Vikings
6-2
Green Bay Packers
6-3
NFL • Sun 1:00 PM ET
Jacksonville Jaguars
6-2
Tennessee Titans
1-7
NFL • Sun 1:00 PM ET
Miami Dolphins
1-7
Indianapolis Colts
2-7
NFL • Sun 1:00 PM ET
Carolina Panthers
3-5
New Orleans Saints
3-5
NFL • Sun 1:00 PM ET
Buffalo Bills
7-1
New York Jets
2-7
NFL • Sun 4:05 PM ET
Seattle Seahawks
5-4
Las Vegas Raiders
4-5
NFL • Sun 4:05 PM ET
Los Angeles Rams
5-4
Arizona Cardinals
3-6
NFL • Sun 4:25 PM ET
San Francisco 49ers
7-1
Dallas Cowboys
4-5
NFL • Sun 8:20 PM ET
Pittsburgh Steelers
6-2
Cincinnati Bengals
6-2
NFL • Mon 8:15 PM ET
Los Angeles Chargers
0-8
Baltimore Ravens
4-5
CFB • 8:00 PM ET-1.5
Memphis
-5-3.5
South Florida
+5+3.5
CFB • 9:00 PM ET-0.5
UL Lafayette
-10.5-10
UL Monroe
+10.5+10
CFB • Fri 7:00 PM ET+0.5
Florida State
+4+3.5
Pittsburgh
-4-3.5
CFB • Fri 9:00 PM ETO/U ▲1
Illinois
+10
4UCLA
-10
CFB • Fri 10:15 PM ET-1.5
14Houston
-11-9.5
Colorado
+11+9.5
CFB • Sat 12:00 PM ET-3.5
13Wake Forest
-2.5+1
SMU
+2.5-1
CFB • Sat 12:00 PM ET-1.5
Northwestern
+12.5+14
20Ohio State
-12.5-14
CFB • Sat 12:00 PM ET KEY #
Cincinnati
+1+3
Iowa State
-1-3
CFB • Sat 12:00 PM ETO/U ▲0.5
Auburn
-2.5
Mississippi State
+2.5
CFB • Sat 12:00 PM ETO/U ▼1
Syracuse
-3
NC State
+3
CFB • Sat 12:00 PM ET+1.5
Wisconsin
-7.5-9
Maryland
+7.5+9
CFB • Sat 12:00 PM ET+0.5
James Madison
-3.5-4
Connecticut
+3.5+4
CFB • Sat 12:00 PM ETO/U ▲1
Duke
+13.5
Miami Florida
-13.5
CFB • Sat 12:30 PM ET-0.5
Georgia Tech
+13+13.5
Clemson
-13-13.5
CFB • Sat 12:30 PM ET+1.5
Nebraska
-13.5-15
Rutgers
+13.5+15
CFB • Sat 12:45 PM ETO/U ▼2
3Alabama
-17.5
Vanderbilt
+17.5
CFB • Sat 1:00 PM ET+1
East Carolina
-11-12
Charlotte
+11+12
CFB • Sat 1:00 PM ETO/U ▼0.5
UAB
+2.5
Temple
-2.5
CFB • Sat 1:00 PM ETO/U 51.5
Arkansas State
+1
Coastal Carolina
-1
CFB • Sat 2:00 PM ET-1.5
Kansas State
+9+10.5
TCU
-9-10.5
CFB • Sat 2:00 PM ET+0.5
Tulane
+3+2.5
Rice
-3-2.5
CFB • Sat 2:00 PM ET-1.5
Kennesaw State
-9-7.5
Sam Houston State
+9+7.5
CFB • Sat 3:00 PM ETO/U ▲1
8Tennessee
-2.5
Texas A&M
+2.5
CFB • Sat 3:00 PM ETO/U 48.5
New Mexico State
+1
Missouri State
-1
CFB • Sat 3:00 PM ET-0.5
Florida International
+4.5+5
Delaware
-4.5-5
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ET-1.5
22Missouri
+14.5+16
1Georgia
-14.5-16
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ETO/U 53
Boston College
+29.5
5Notre Dame
-29.5
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ET-2.5
18USC
+7.5+10
9Indiana
-7.5-10
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ETO/U ▼1
Baylor
+7.5
10BYU
-7.5
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ET-1
Michigan
+10+11
16Oregon
-10-11
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ETO/U 49
Arizona State
+3
Central Florida
-3
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ET+2.5
California
+12.5+10
Virginia
-12.5-10
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ET-1
Florida Atlantic
+4.5+5.5
Tulsa
-4.5-5.5
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ETO/U ▲2
Nevada
-7
Northern Illinois
+7
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ET+0.5
Georgia Southern
-5.5-6
Georgia State
+5.5+6
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ETO/U ▲2
Jacksonville State
-7.5
Western Kentucky
+7.5
CFB • Sat 3:30 PM ET+0.5
Middle Tennessee State
+21.5+21
Liberty
-21.5-21
CFB • Sat 4:00 PM ET+0.5
Fresno State
+10+9.5
Texas State
-10-9.5
CFB • Sat 4:15 PM ETO/U ▼0.5
19Ole Miss
-1
Oklahoma
+1
CFB • Sat 4:15 PM ETO/U ▼0.5
Washington
-3.5
Michigan State
+3.5
CFB • Sat 5:00 PM ETO/U ▲1
SOSouthern Ole Miss
+17.5
Louisiana Tech
-17.5
Front PageNewsLines BoardSteam & MovesTeamsCalculatorsBetting SchoolNewsletter
CFBNCAAFAnalysisNo. 13 Wake Forest (8-1, +247 differential) converts 51.38% of third downs behind QB Gio Lopez (18 TD, 1 INT) and visits SMU as a +1 underdog (O/U 61) after opening -2.5.

Winston-Salem’s Quiet Juggernaut: How Jake Dickert Built an ACC Frontrunner at Wake Forest

Boasting a +247 scoring differential, an 18-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio from Gio Lopez, and six consecutive blowouts or road wins, No. 13 Wake Forest heads to SMU after a sharp 3.5-point market swing.

Sharp Wire College Football Desk
FBS Matchup & Line Movement Desk•Nov 11, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Winston-Salem’s Quiet Juggernaut: How Jake Dickert Built an ACC Frontrunner at Wake Forest
The Betting Takeaway
  • ▪Jake Dickert’s No. 13 Wake Forest Demon Deacons sit 8-1 atop the ACC on a six-game winning streak, outscoring foes 390-143 (43.3 PPG vs. 15.9 PPG allowed).
  • ▪Junior QB Gio Lopez has thrown for 2,176 yards with 18 touchdowns and just one interception, targeting senior WR Carlos Hernandez (61 catches, 945 yards, 7 TD) and freshman Jack Foley.
  • ▪Oddsmakers moved Saturday’s noon clash at SMU 3.5 points toward the Mustangs, flipping Wake Forest from -2.5 on the opener to +1 (-110) with an over/under of 61.
  • ▪Trimming 77 penalties (749 yards) across final ACC dates at SMU, at Georgia Tech, and vs. Duke gives Wake Forest (+5500 CFP futures) a clear path to Charlotte.

Late in the fourth quarter at Cardinal Stadium back on September 26, junior quarterback Gio Lopez stood tall against a zero-blitz, lofted a strike toward senior wideout Carlos Hernandez on his way to a nine-catch, 194-yard afternoon, and sealed a 30-27 upset over No. 16 Louisville. Since walking out of Kentucky with that statement victory, Jake Dickert’s Wake Forest Demon Deacons have not played a competitive second half, outscoring their next five opponents by an astonishing 264-31 margin.

Yet sitting 8-1 atop the 18-team Atlantic Coast Conference with a +247 season point differential has still left Winston-Salem fighting for national respect at No. 13 in the College Football Playoff rankings. Oddsmakers flipped Saturday’s noon clash at 7-2 SMU by 3.5 points — moving Wake Forest from a -2.5 road favorite to a +1 underdog — making Dallas the ultimate proving ground for a +5500 title dark horse.

Gio Lopez’s Surgical Precision Powers a 43.3-Point Scoring Machine

Few offenses in college football match the down-to-down efficiency Dickert’s staff has unlocked around junior signal-caller Gio Lopez. Across eight starts before resting during last Saturday’s 77-0 demolition of Merrimack — where freshman backup quarterback Steele Pizzella threw for 432 yards and three touchdowns in relief behind Gio Lopez — the Demon Deacons’ starter completed 153 of 228 passes for 2,176 yards, 18 touchdowns, and a lone interception that came against No. 5 Miami in September.

As a unit, Wake Forest averages 43.3 points and 487.7 total yards per outing while posting an eye-popping 10.4 yards per pass attempt, a metric tracking explosive vertical efficiency on every throw. Senior boundary weapon Carlos Hernandez (61 receptions, 945 yards, seven touchdowns) and freshman wideout Jack Foley — who erupted for 118 yards against Miami, 156 at NC State, and 162 against Merrimack — stretch safeties horizontally and vertically alongside tight end Dominick Barry. Slot threat Kam Shanks adds crisp punt-return burst and underneath chain-moving reliability, ensuring opposing nickel defenders cannot double Hernandez on third-and-medium without leaving wide-open grass across the hashes.

Money-Down Dominance and Ground Balance Punish Light Boxes

Opponents who drop eight defenders into coverage to bracket Hernandez and Foley quickly discover why Wake Forest converts 51.38 percent of its third downs and 69.23 percent of its fourth-down attempts. Junior tailback Ty Clark III (86 carries, 416 yards, eight touchdowns) runs with compact leverage between the tackles, complemented by freshmen Deuce Lawrence and Jamar Searcy plus Lopez’s own red-zone legs, lifting the Demon Deacons to 175.8 rushing yards per game at 4.9 yards per carry.

Even in Wake Forest’s solitary blemish — a 33-20 home setback against No. 5 Miami on September 18 — Lopez passed for 312 yards and three touchdowns, undone primarily by a stalled rushing script (27 yards on six carries by Lawrence) and early kicking miscues. Once Dickert recalibrated the run-pass balance at Louisville, Wake Forest dismantled Stanford 57-3, NC State 38-14, California 41-7, and Virginia 51-7 without surrendering more than two touchdowns in any conference game.

13Wake Forest Demon Deacons(8-1)VS.FBS Power-4 Avg
3RD-DOWN CONV %
13Wake Forest51.38%
FBS Power-4 Avg40.5%
YARDS PER PASS ATT
13Wake Forest10.4 YPA
FBS Power-4 Avg7.4 YPA
TURNOVER MARGIN
13Wake Forest2
FBS Power-4 Avg0
YARDS PER CARRY
13Wake Forest4.9 YPC
FBS Power-4 Avg4.4 YPC

A 15.9-Point Defensive Vise With One Glaring Penalty Habit to Clean Up

The real shock inside Groves Stadium this fall is how thoroughly Dickert’s defensive DNA has transformed Wake Forest’s identity. Through nine games, the Demon Deacons allow just 15.9 points per contest (143 total points surrendered), racking up 21 sacks and five interceptions. Linebackers Aiden Hall, Frank Cusano, and Myles Turpin fly downhill to erase perimeter screens, while edge disruptors Langston Hardy, Gabe Kirschke, and Braylon Johnson collapse pockets before deep routes develop.

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If there is an Achilles’ heel lurking beneath Wake Forest’s dominant numbers, it is pre-snap and post-whistle laundry. The Demon Deacons have been flagged 77 times for 749 penalty yards — over 83 free yards handed to opponents per afternoon. Against outmanned Stanford, Cal, or Virginia, surrendering hidden yardage barely registered; against disciplined top-25 attacks like SMU or Miami in a potential conference title rematch, self-inflicted flags can flip entire halves.

Why Sharp Money Flipped the SMU Spread and What Awaits in November

Nothing illustrates market skepticism toward ACC strength of schedule quite like the line movement ahead of Saturday’s 12:00 PM ET kickoff in Dallas against AP No. 25 SMU. After opening Wake Forest at -2.5 (-105) against SMU (+2.5), oddsmakers absorbed steady action on the home Mustangs, pushing the spread 3.5 points through zero to SMU -1 (-110) and Wake Forest +1 (-110), with a 61-point total projecting a razor-thin 31.0-to-30.0 implied score.

That skepticism mirrors the playoff committee slotting 8-1 Wake Forest at No. 13 behind two-loss SEC and Big Ten clubs. Fortunately for Dickert, the ACC path leaves zero ambiguity: beat SMU on Saturday, handle a tricky road trip to Georgia Tech on November 21, and close out Duke at home on November 28, and an 11-1 Wake Forest squad punches its ticket to Charlotte for an automatic-bid showdown likely against No. 7 Miami.

2026 Playoff Verdict: Wake Forest Earns a Rematch With Miami in Charlotte

Teams boasting a +247 scoring differential over nine games and a quarterback throwing 18 touchdowns against one interception are rarely frauds, regardless of conference narrative. Wake Forest already proved in hostile environments at Purdue, Louisville, NC State, and California that Lopez’s 68.9 percent completion accuracy travels cleanly outdoors. Even when Stanford or Virginia tried crowding the line of scrimmage to disrupt timing, Wake Forest’s veteran offensive line — led by Ryan Berger, Luke Beemer, and Jack Hines — kept pockets clean enough for Lopez to punish single-high safeties.

Expect Wake Forest’s defensive front and Connor Calvert’s steady kicking leg to steal two pivotal fourth-quarter stops in Dallas this Saturday, springing the +1 road upset over SMU. From there, Dickert’s veteran-led offense should navigate Georgia Tech and Duke to finish 11-1, setting up a winner-take-all ACC Championship clash in December for a January 2027 College Football Playoff spot.

SHARP WIRE BETTING ANGLEACC TITLE CONTENDER VERDICT: BUY THE PLUS-MONEY FLIP

Capitalizing on the 3.5-Point Line Flip Toward SMU and +5500 CFP Odds

Watching Wake Forest move from a -2.5 road favorite to a +1 (-110) underdog and -105 moneyline price at SMU (-1, -115) hands contrarian bettors a gift-wrapped entry point. While SMU commands respect at home inside a 61-point total (-110), fading a Demon Deacons squad averaging 43.3 points per game, 10.4 yards per pass attempt, and allowing just 15.9 points requires ignoring two months of elite two-way efficiency.

Beyond Saturday’s noon kick, Wake Forest’s +5500 national championship futures price carries intriguing mid-November leverage. Sitting alone in first place in the ACC at 8-1, the Demon Deacons are three wins away from playing in a conference championship game that awards a guaranteed playoff berth. Grabbing +5500 before Saturday’s test at SMU creates automatic hedge flexibility in December.

Week 12 Spread at SMU
Wake Forest +1 (-110) / SMU -1 (-110)
Week 12 Opening vs. Current Move
Opened Wake -2.5 -> Moved 3.5 pts to SMU -1
Week 12 Total at SMU
Over 61 (-110) / Under 61 (-110)
2026-27 CFP National Title Futures
Wake Forest +5500 (#13 CFP, 8-1)
Execution Trigger:Take Wake Forest +1 (-110) at SMU following the 3.5-point market move, and add a fractional +5500 CFP title position ahead of Saturday’s noon ET kickoff.
Live College Football spreads, derivatives, and futures via YouWager.lv

Frequently Asked Questions

Sharp Wire Market Desk

How has the betting spread moved for Wake Forest at SMU in Week 12?

Wake Forest opened as a -2.5 road favorite at SMU before oddsmakers moved the spread 3.5 points toward the Mustangs, leaving SMU at -1 (-110) and Wake Forest at +1 (-110) with a 61-point total.

Who is Wake Forest’s head coach and starting quarterback in 2026?

Head coach Jake Dickert leads the 8-1 Demon Deacons, while junior quarterback Gio Lopez has totaled 2,176 passing yards, 18 passing touchdowns, and just one interception.

What games remain on Wake Forest’s 2026 regular-season schedule?

Wake Forest visits SMU on Saturday, November 14 at 12:00 PM ET, travels to Georgia Tech on November 21, and hosts rival Duke on November 28.

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