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UFC•Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PMML STEAM: Charles Radtke +120 → +111 (-1.8% Win Prob)
Heat Score: 18.9Matchup Hub
Fight Moneyline-1.81%
Open:+120/-140
Now:+111/-130
Total Rounds (O/U)
Open:—
Now:—
No-Vig Fair
Charles Radtke:+111
Stephen Thompson:-130
Moneyline adjustment on Charles Radtke (+120 → +111)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Charles Radtke shifted from +120 to +111, a 1.8% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sat, Nov 7, 10:30 PMML STEAM: Wellington Turman +500 → +475 (-1.3% Win Prob)
Heat Score: 15.7Matchup Hub
Fight Moneyline-1.29%
Open:+500/-700
Now:+475/-625
Total Rounds (O/U)
Open:1.5
Now:1.5 (+169)
No-Vig Fair
Wellington Turman:+475
SeokHyeon Ko:-625
Moneyline adjustment on Wellington Turman (+500 → +475)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Wellington Turman shifted from +500 to +475, a 1.3% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sun, Nov 8, 2:15 AMML STEAM: Lucas Fernando -330 → -355 (-1.3% Win Prob)
Heat Score: 15.6Matchup Hub
Fight Moneyline-1.26%
Open:-330/+269
Now:-355/+287
Total Rounds (O/U)
Open:1.5
Now:1.5 (+161)
No-Vig Fair
Lucas Fernando:-355
Billy Elekana:+287
Moneyline adjustment on Lucas Fernando (-330 → -355)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Lucas Fernando shifted from -330 to -355, a 1.3% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sat, Nov 7, 10:05 PMML STEAM: Jonny Parsons +193 → +185 (+1.0% Win Prob)
Heat Score: 13.8Matchup Hub
Fight Moneyline+0.96%
Open:-230/+193
Now:-220/+185
Total Rounds (O/U)
Open:2.5
Now:2.5 (-135)
No-Vig Fair
Jose Souza:-220
Jonny Parsons:+185
Moneyline adjustment on Jonny Parsons (+193 → +185)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Jonny Parsons shifted from +193 to +185, a 1.0% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sun, Nov 8, 12:20 AMML STEAM: Gabriel Lorenco +145 → +140 (+0.8% Win Prob)
Heat Score: 13.1Matchup Hub
Fight Moneyline+0.85%
Open:-171/+145
Now:-160/+140
Total Rounds (O/U)
Open:1.5
Now:1.5 (+124)
No-Vig Fair
Thomas Petersen:-160
Gabriel Lorenco:+140
Moneyline adjustment on Gabriel Lorenco (+145 → +140)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Gabriel Lorenco shifted from +145 to +140, a 0.8% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sat, Nov 7, 11:40 PMML STEAM: Jose Delano -116 → -120 (+0.8% Win Prob)
Heat Score: 13Matchup Hub
Fight Moneyline+0.84%
Open:+100/-116
Now:+100/-120
Total Rounds (O/U)
Open:2.5
Now:2.5 (-120)
No-Vig Fair
Murtazali Magomedov:+100
Jose Delano:-120
Moneyline adjustment on Jose Delano (-116 → -120)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Jose Delano shifted from -116 to -120, a 0.8% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sat, Nov 7, 10:55 PMML STEAM: Mantas Kondratavicius -288 → -300 (+0.8% Win Prob)
Heat Score: 12.6Matchup Hub
Fight Moneyline+0.77%
Open:+238/-288
Now:+247/-300
Total Rounds (O/U)
Open:1.5
Now:1.5 (-200)
No-Vig Fair
Andre Petroski:+247
Mantas Kondratavicius:-300
Moneyline adjustment on Mantas Kondratavicius (-288 → -300)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Mantas Kondratavicius shifted from -288 to -300, a 0.8% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sun, Nov 8, 12:00 AMML STEAM: Gabriella Fernandes +191 → +180 (-0.8% Win Prob)
Heat Score: 12.6Matchup Hub
Fight Moneyline-0.76%
Open:+191/-228
Now:+180/-220
Total Rounds (O/U)
Open:2.5
Now:2.5 (+139)
No-Vig Fair
Gabriella Fernandes:+180
Karine Silva:-220
Moneyline adjustment on Gabriella Fernandes (+191 → +180)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Gabriella Fernandes shifted from +191 to +180, a 0.8% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PMML STEAM: Luis Gurule +625 → +596 (-0.8% Win Prob)
Heat Score: 12.6Matchup Hub
Fight Moneyline-0.77%
Open:+625/-925
Now:+596/-850
Total Rounds (O/U)
Open:—
Now:—
No-Vig Fair
Luis Gurule:+596
Bilal Hasan:-850
Moneyline adjustment on Luis Gurule (+625 → +596)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Luis Gurule shifted from +625 to +596, a 0.8% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sun, Nov 8, 2:45 AMML STEAM: Davey Grant +254 → +247 (+0.6% Win Prob)
Heat Score: 11.4Matchup Hub
Fight Moneyline+0.57%
Open:-310/+254
Now:-315/+247
Total Rounds (O/U)
Open:2.5
Now:2.5 (-115)
No-Vig Fair
Elijah Smith:-315
Davey Grant:+247
Moneyline adjustment on Davey Grant (+254 → +247)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Davey Grant shifted from +254 to +247, a 0.6% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sat, Nov 7, 11:20 PMHOLD 4.39% • NO-VIG 17.4%/82.6%
Heat Score: 10.8Matchup Hub
Fight Moneyline-0.46%
Open:+482/-650
Now:+450/-625
Total Rounds (O/U)
Open:2.5
Now:2.5 (-200)
No-Vig Fair
Carlos Calderon:+450
Austin Bashi:-625
Moneyline adjustment on Carlos Calderon (+482 → +450)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Carlos Calderon shifted from +482 to +450, a 0.5% implied win probability adjustment.

Sharp Wire Betting School • Reading the BoardReverse Line Movement

How to Spot Reverse Line Movement When the Public Is All Over One Side.

When 75% of the tickets are on a popular favorite and the spread still moves the other way, respected money is stepping in. Here is how to tell real steam from a head-fake.

Line Movement & Steam GuideLearn to Read Line Moves
The Sharp Wire Morning Steam7:00 AM ET • 3-Min Read
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