UFC/MMA Steam & Line Moves

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Creator: Sharp Wire

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Signal Filter:All Market Moves Total Rounds (O/U) Steam Moneyline & Win % Shifts

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UFC•Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PMML STEAM: Charles Radtke +120 → +111 (-1.8% Win Prob)

Heat Score: 18.9Matchup Hub

ChCharles Radtke

StStephen Thompson

Fight Moneyline-1.81%

Open:+120/-140

Now:+111/-130

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:—

Now:—

No-Vig Fair3.92%

Charles Radtke:+111(45.6%)

Stephen Thompson:-130(54.4%)

Moneyline adjustment on Charles Radtke (+120 → +111)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Charles Radtke shifted from +120 to +111, a 1.8% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sat, Nov 7, 10:30 PMML STEAM: Wellington Turman +500 → +475 (-1.3% Win Prob)

Heat Score: 15.7Matchup Hub

WeWellington Turman

SeSeokHyeon Ko

Fight Moneyline-1.29%

Open:+500/-700

Now:+475/-625

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:1.5

Now:1.5 (+169)

No-Vig Fair3.6%

Wellington Turman:+475(16.8%)

SeokHyeon Ko:-625(83.2%)

Moneyline adjustment on Wellington Turman (+500 → +475)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Wellington Turman shifted from +500 to +475, a 1.3% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sun, Nov 8, 2:15 AMML STEAM: Lucas Fernando -330 → -355 (-1.3% Win Prob)

Heat Score: 15.6Matchup Hub

LuLucas Fernando

BiBilly Elekana

Fight Moneyline-1.26%

Open:-330/+269

Now:-355/+287

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:1.5

Now:1.5 (+161)

No-Vig Fair3.86%

Lucas Fernando:-355(75.1%)

Billy Elekana:+287(24.9%)

Moneyline adjustment on Lucas Fernando (-330 → -355)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Lucas Fernando shifted from -330 to -355, a 1.3% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sat, Nov 7, 10:05 PMML STEAM: Jonny Parsons +193 → +185 (+1.0% Win Prob)

Heat Score: 13.8Matchup Hub

JoJose Souza

JoJonny Parsons

Fight Moneyline+0.96%

Open:-230/+193

Now:-220/+185

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:2.5

Now:2.5 (-135)

No-Vig Fair3.84%

Jose Souza:-220(66.2%)

Jonny Parsons:+185(33.8%)

Moneyline adjustment on Jonny Parsons (+193 → +185)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Jonny Parsons shifted from +193 to +185, a 1.0% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sun, Nov 8, 12:20 AMML STEAM: Gabriel Lorenco +145 → +140 (+0.8% Win Prob)

Heat Score: 13.1Matchup Hub

ThThomas Petersen

GaGabriel Lorenco

Fight Moneyline+0.85%

Open:-171/+145

Now:-160/+140

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:1.5

Now:1.5 (+124)

No-Vig Fair3.21%

Thomas Petersen:-160(59.6%)

Gabriel Lorenco:+140(40.4%)

Moneyline adjustment on Gabriel Lorenco (+145 → +140)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Gabriel Lorenco shifted from +145 to +140, a 0.8% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sat, Nov 7, 11:40 PMML STEAM: Jose Delano -116 → -120 (+0.8% Win Prob)

Heat Score: 13Matchup Hub

MuMurtazali Magomedov

JoJose Delano

Fight Moneyline+0.84%

Open:+100/-116

Now:+100/-120

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:2.5

Now:2.5 (-120)

No-Vig Fair4.55%

Murtazali Magomedov:+100(47.8%)

Jose Delano:-120(52.2%)

Moneyline adjustment on Jose Delano (-116 → -120)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Jose Delano shifted from -116 to -120, a 0.8% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sat, Nov 7, 10:55 PMML STEAM: Mantas Kondratavicius -288 → -300 (+0.8% Win Prob)

Heat Score: 12.6Matchup Hub

AnAndre Petroski

MaMantas Kondratavicius

Fight Moneyline+0.77%

Open:+238/-288

Now:+247/-300

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:1.5

Now:1.5 (-200)

No-Vig Fair3.82%

Andre Petroski:+247(27.8%)

Mantas Kondratavicius:-300(72.2%)

Moneyline adjustment on Mantas Kondratavicius (-288 → -300)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Mantas Kondratavicius shifted from -288 to -300, a 0.8% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sun, Nov 8, 12:00 AMML STEAM: Gabriella Fernandes +191 → +180 (-0.8% Win Prob)

Heat Score: 12.6Matchup Hub

GaGabriella Fernandes

KaKarine Silva

Fight Moneyline-0.76%

Open:+191/-228

Now:+180/-220

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:2.5

Now:2.5 (+139)

No-Vig Fair4.46%

Gabriella Fernandes:+180(34.2%)

Karine Silva:-220(65.8%)

Moneyline adjustment on Gabriella Fernandes (+191 → +180)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Gabriella Fernandes shifted from +191 to +180, a 0.8% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PMML STEAM: Luis Gurule +625 → +596 (-0.8% Win Prob)

Heat Score: 12.6Matchup Hub

LuLuis Gurule

BiBilal Hasan

Fight Moneyline-0.77%

Open:+625/-925

Now:+596/-850

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:—

Now:—

No-Vig Fair3.84%

Luis Gurule:+596(13.8%)

Bilal Hasan:-850(86.2%)

Moneyline adjustment on Luis Gurule (+625 → +596)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Luis Gurule shifted from +625 to +596, a 0.8% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sun, Nov 8, 2:45 AMML STEAM: Davey Grant +254 → +247 (+0.6% Win Prob)

Heat Score: 11.4Matchup Hub

ElElijah Smith

DaDavey Grant

Fight Moneyline+0.57%

Open:-310/+254

Now:-315/+247

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:2.5

Now:2.5 (-115)

No-Vig Fair4.72%

Elijah Smith:-315(72.5%)

Davey Grant:+247(27.5%)

Moneyline adjustment on Davey Grant (+254 → +247)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Davey Grant shifted from +254 to +247, a 0.6% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sat, Nov 7, 11:20 PMHOLD 4.39% • NO-VIG 17.4%/82.6%

Heat Score: 10.8Matchup Hub

CaCarlos Calderon

AuAustin Bashi

Fight Moneyline-0.46%

Open:+482/-650

Now:+450/-625

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:2.5

Now:2.5 (-200)

No-Vig Fair4.39%

Carlos Calderon:+450(17.4%)

Austin Bashi:-625(82.6%)

Moneyline adjustment on Carlos Calderon (+482 → +450)

YouWager.lv moneyline pricing on Carlos Calderon shifted from +482 to +450, a 0.5% implied win probability adjustment.

UFC•Sun, Nov 8, 12:40 AMHOLD 3.84% • NO-VIG 24.6%/75.4%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

OlOllie Schmid

KeKeiichiro Nakamura

Fight Moneyline

Open:+291/-360

Now:+291/-360

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:1.5

Now:1.5 (+111)

No-Vig Fair3.84%

Ollie Schmid:+291(24.6%)

Keiichiro Nakamura:-360(75.4%)

Ollie Schmid vs. Keiichiro Nakamura holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Ollie Schmid (+291) vs. Keiichiro Nakamura (-360) with Total Rounds at 1.5 (O +111 / U -130). No-vig fair win probability is Ollie Schmid 24.6% vs. Keiichiro Nakamura 75.4%.

UFC•Sun, Nov 8, 1:15 AMHOLD 3.89% • NO-VIG 67.3%/32.7%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

MaMarcos Degli

MiMitch Raposo

Fight Moneyline

Open:-232/+194

Now:-232/+194

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:2.5

Now:2.5 (+100)

No-Vig Fair3.89%

Marcos Degli:-232(67.3%)

Mitch Raposo:+194(32.7%)

Marcos Degli vs. Mitch Raposo holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Marcos Degli (-232) vs. Mitch Raposo (+194) with Total Rounds at 2.5 (O +100 / U -120). No-vig fair win probability is Marcos Degli 67.3% vs. Mitch Raposo 32.7%.

UFC•Sun, Nov 8, 1:45 AMHOLD 3.85% • NO-VIG 80.5%/19.5%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

NiNina Milosevic

PrPriscila Cachoeira

Fight Moneyline

Open:-510/+394

Now:-510/+394

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:1.5

Now:1.5 (-102)

No-Vig Fair3.85%

Nina Milosevic:-510(80.5%)

Priscila Cachoeira:+394(19.5%)

Nina Milosevic vs. Priscila Cachoeira holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Nina Milosevic (-510) vs. Priscila Cachoeira (+394) with Total Rounds at 1.5 (O -102 / U -114). No-vig fair win probability is Nina Milosevic 80.5% vs. Priscila Cachoeira 19.5%.

UFC•Sun, Nov 8, 3:15 AMHOLD 3.79% • NO-VIG 35.6%/64.4%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

ViVirna Jandiroba

TaTatiana Suarez

Fight Moneyline

Open:+171/-202

Now:+171/-202

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:2.5

Now:2.5 (+294)

No-Vig Fair3.79%

Virna Jandiroba:+171(35.6%)

Tatiana Suarez:-202(64.4%)

Virna Jandiroba vs. Tatiana Suarez holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Virna Jandiroba (+171) vs. Tatiana Suarez (-202) with Total Rounds at 2.5 (O +294 / U -365). No-vig fair win probability is Virna Jandiroba 35.6% vs. Tatiana Suarez 64.4%.

UFC•Sun, Nov 8, 3:45 AMHOLD 3.9% • NO-VIG 33.2%/66.8%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

JoJohnny Walker

WaWaldo Cortes-Acosta

Fight Moneyline

Open:+190/-227

Now:+190/-227

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:1.5

Now:1.5 (+177)

No-Vig Fair3.9%

Johnny Walker:+190(33.2%)

Waldo Cortes-Acosta:-227(66.8%)

Johnny Walker vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Johnny Walker (+190) vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (-227) with Total Rounds at 1.5 (O +177 / U -210). No-vig fair win probability is Johnny Walker 33.2% vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta 66.8%.

UFC•Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PMHOLD 3.8% • NO-VIG 38.7%/61.3%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

KeKevin Holland

UrUros Medic

Fight Moneyline

Open:+149/-175

Now:+149/-175

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:—

Now:—

No-Vig Fair3.8%

Kevin Holland:+149(38.7%)

Uros Medic:-175(61.3%)

Kevin Holland vs. Uros Medic holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Kevin Holland (+149) vs. Uros Medic (-175). No-vig fair win probability is Kevin Holland 38.7% vs. Uros Medic 61.3%.

UFC•Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PMHOLD 3.74% • NO-VIG 48.4%/51.6%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

SaSamuel Sanches

EvEvan Elder

Fight Moneyline

Open:-101/-115

Now:-101/-115

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:—

Now:—

No-Vig Fair3.74%

Samuel Sanches:-101(48.4%)

Evan Elder:-115(51.6%)

Samuel Sanches vs. Evan Elder holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Samuel Sanches (-101) vs. Evan Elder (-115). No-vig fair win probability is Samuel Sanches 48.4% vs. Evan Elder 51.6%.

UFC•Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PMHOLD 3.84% • NO-VIG 65.7%/34.3%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

TeTerrance McKinney

JiJim Miller

Fight Moneyline

Open:-215/+181

Now:-215/+181

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:—

Now:—

No-Vig Fair3.84%

Terrance McKinney:-215(65.7%)

Jim Miller:+181(34.3%)

Terrance McKinney vs. Jim Miller holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Terrance McKinney (-215) vs. Jim Miller (+181). No-vig fair win probability is Terrance McKinney 65.7% vs. Jim Miller 34.3%.

UFC•Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PMHOLD 3.88% • NO-VIG 37.8%/62.2%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

AmAmanda Nunes

KaKayla Harrison

Fight Moneyline

Open:+155/-183

Now:+155/-183

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:—

Now:—

No-Vig Fair3.88%

Amanda Nunes:+155(37.8%)

Kayla Harrison:-183(62.2%)

Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Amanda Nunes (+155) vs. Kayla Harrison (-183). No-vig fair win probability is Amanda Nunes 37.8% vs. Kayla Harrison 62.2%.

UFC•Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PMHOLD 3.91% • NO-VIG 40.8%/59.2%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

YoYousri Belgaroui

CaCaio Borralho

Fight Moneyline

Open:+136/-160

Now:+136/-160

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:—

Now:—

No-Vig Fair3.91%

Yousri Belgaroui:+136(40.8%)

Caio Borralho:-160(59.2%)

Yousri Belgaroui vs. Caio Borralho holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Yousri Belgaroui (+136) vs. Caio Borralho (-160). No-vig fair win probability is Yousri Belgaroui 40.8% vs. Caio Borralho 59.2%.

UFC•Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PMHOLD 3.84% • NO-VIG 65.2%/34.8%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

BiBia Mesquita

MaMacy Chiasson

Fight Moneyline

Open:-210/+177

Now:-210/+177

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:—

Now:—

No-Vig Fair3.84%

Bia Mesquita:-210(65.2%)

Macy Chiasson:+177(34.8%)

Bia Mesquita vs. Macy Chiasson holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Bia Mesquita (-210) vs. Macy Chiasson (+177). No-vig fair win probability is Bia Mesquita 65.2% vs. Macy Chiasson 34.8%.

UFC•Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PMHOLD 3.93% • NO-VIG 59.9%/40.1%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

ChChris Duncan

DrDrew Dober

Fight Moneyline

Open:-165/+140

Now:-165/+140

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:—

Now:—

No-Vig Fair3.93%

Chris Duncan:-165(59.9%)

Drew Dober:+140(40.1%)

Chris Duncan vs. Drew Dober holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Chris Duncan (-165) vs. Drew Dober (+140). No-vig fair win probability is Chris Duncan 59.9% vs. Drew Dober 40.1%.

UFC•Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PMHOLD 3.81% • NO-VIG 32%/68%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

JoJosh Hokit

CiCiryl Gane

Fight Moneyline

Open:+201/-240

Now:+201/-240

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:—

Now:—

No-Vig Fair3.81%

Josh Hokit:+201(32%)

Ciryl Gane:-240(68%)

Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Josh Hokit (+201) vs. Ciryl Gane (-240). No-vig fair win probability is Josh Hokit 32% vs. Ciryl Gane 68%.

UFC•Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PMHOLD 3.8% • NO-VIG 38.7%/61.3%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

CeCesar Almeida

DoDonte Johnson

Fight Moneyline

Open:+149/-175

Now:+149/-175

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:—

Now:—

No-Vig Fair3.8%

Cesar Almeida:+149(38.7%)

Donte Johnson:-175(61.3%)

Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Cesar Almeida (+149) vs. Donte Johnson (-175). No-vig fair win probability is Cesar Almeida 38.7% vs. Donte Johnson 61.3%.

UFC•Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PMHOLD 3.84% • NO-VIG 24.6%/75.4%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

JaJared Gordon

MeMelquizael Costa

Fight Moneyline

Open:+291/-360

Now:+291/-360

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:—

Now:—

No-Vig Fair3.84%

Jared Gordon:+291(24.6%)

Melquizael Costa:-360(75.4%)

Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Jared Gordon (+291) vs. Melquizael Costa (-360). No-vig fair win probability is Jared Gordon 24.6% vs. Melquizael Costa 75.4%.

UFC•Sat, Nov 21, 3:00 PMHOLD 3.79% • NO-VIG 56.2%/43.8%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

NaNavajo Stirling

JiJiri Prochazka

Fight Moneyline

Open:-140/+120

Now:-140/+120

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:—

Now:—

No-Vig Fair3.79%

Navajo Stirling:-140(56.2%)

Jiri Prochazka:+120(43.8%)

Navajo Stirling vs. Jiri Prochazka holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Navajo Stirling (-140) vs. Jiri Prochazka (+120). No-vig fair win probability is Navajo Stirling 56.2% vs. Jiri Prochazka 43.8%.

UFC•Sat, Dec 12, 10:00 PMHOLD 3.93% • NO-VIG 42.6%/57.4%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

DiDiego Lopes

ChCharles Oliveira

Fight Moneyline

Open:+126/-148

Now:+126/-148

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:—

Now:—

No-Vig Fair3.93%

Diego Lopes:+126(42.6%)

Charles Oliveira:-148(57.4%)

Diego Lopes vs. Charles Oliveira holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Diego Lopes (+126) vs. Charles Oliveira (-148). No-vig fair win probability is Diego Lopes 42.6% vs. Charles Oliveira 57.4%.

UFC•Sat, Dec 12, 10:00 PMHOLD 3.84% • NO-VIG 33.8%/66.2%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

BoBo Nickal

JoJoe Pyfer

Fight Moneyline

Open:+185/-220

Now:+185/-220

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:—

Now:—

No-Vig Fair3.84%

Bo Nickal:+185(33.8%)

Joe Pyfer:-220(66.2%)

Bo Nickal vs. Joe Pyfer holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Bo Nickal (+185) vs. Joe Pyfer (-220). No-vig fair win probability is Bo Nickal 33.8% vs. Joe Pyfer 66.2%.

UFC•Sat, Dec 12, 10:00 PMHOLD 3.84% • NO-VIG 36.3%/63.7%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

AlAlex Pereira

SeSergei Pavlovich

Fight Moneyline

Open:+165/-195

Now:+165/-195

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:—

Now:—

No-Vig Fair3.84%

Alex Pereira:+165(36.3%)

Sergei Pavlovich:-195(63.7%)

Alex Pereira vs. Sergei Pavlovich holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Alex Pereira (+165) vs. Sergei Pavlovich (-195). No-vig fair win probability is Alex Pereira 36.3% vs. Sergei Pavlovich 63.7%.

UFC•Sat, Jan 30, 10:00 PMHOLD 3.78% • NO-VIG 39.3%/60.7%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

MiMichael Morales

CaCarlos Prates

Fight Moneyline

Open:+145/-170

Now:+145/-170

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:—

Now:—

No-Vig Fair3.78%

Michael Morales:+145(39.3%)

Carlos Prates:-170(60.7%)

Michael Morales vs. Carlos Prates holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Michael Morales (+145) vs. Carlos Prates (-170). No-vig fair win probability is Michael Morales 39.3% vs. Carlos Prates 60.7%.

UFC•Sat, Jan 30, 10:00 PMHOLD 3.92% • NO-VIG 45.6%/54.4%

Heat Score: 0Matchup Hub

MaManel Kape

JoJoshua Van

Fight Moneyline

Open:+111/-130

Now:+111/-130

Total Rounds (O/U)

Open:—

Now:—

No-Vig Fair3.92%

Manel Kape:+111(45.6%)

Joshua Van:-130(54.4%)

Manel Kape vs. Joshua Van holding steady on the YouWager board

YouWager.lv is currently dealing Manel Kape (+111) vs. Joshua Van (-130). No-vig fair win probability is Manel Kape 45.6% vs. Joshua Van 54.4%.

Sharp Wire Betting School • Reading the BoardReverse Line Movement

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When 75% of the tickets are on a popular favorite and the spread still moves the other way, respected money is stepping in. Here is how to tell real steam from a head-fake.

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